Defra reports (2002-2010)

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Futures project lifecycle

Futures project lifecycle

As part of the "Looking back at looking forwards" report, Defra developed a project life cycle for a notional futures project. This graphic (pictured right) represents the cumulative knowledge of people who have faced futures projects before and highlights the key tasks and stages of the project cycle. Below the white line, is a pithy of advice from futures experts. These are the tips that "no one ever tells you", but which are critical to the success of your project. Reports and downloads Project cycle report
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Looking back at looking forwards

Looking back at looking forwards

This report looks back over the horizon scanning and futures work conducted by Defra and draws out key lessons and "next steps" for the programme. Conducted in <YEAR>, Defra's Horizon Scanning and Futures programme entered a year-long period of review and consolidation and commissioned Sparknow, a pioneer in the use of narrative techniques to capture knowledge, to help it review the work thus far and draw out the lessons to be learned. Through a series of events, interviews, discussions and exercises Defra gathered countless experiences and insights about how the programme has been run in the past and how their ‘critical friends’ thought it should be run in the future. The lessons are detailed here, with each page representing a frank and readable summary of  findings on a core ‘sticky’ question identified by our stakeholders. Reports and downloads Download the full "Looking back at looking forwards" report here.
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Basline scan

Basline scan

The baseline scan was created to provide Defra with a common base of critical future trends, drivers, developments, issues and wild cards (low probability, high impact events) which can be used to support strategy development, policy making, research and directorate planning. It was commissioned jointly by PCSU (as was) and Science Directorate and undertaken from September 2003 to March 2004. The objective of the exercise was to compile a baseline of key trends and drivers which had already been identified by other well respected scanning projects conducted over the last 3-4 years. These key trends and drivers can now be used as a ‘baseline’ for wider scanning activity. The Baseline Scan  identified over three hundred emerging trends relevant to the Defra agenda and the outputs have been presented through a series of seminars and have been used as part of the evidence base in a number of policy areas. Reports and downloads Defra Basline Scan Final Report Basline Scan Final Report - Appendices
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Historical Defra resources (2004-2005)

Historical Defra resources (2004-2005)

The following projects were conducted by Defra but removed from their online futures portal. We have agreed to host the reports here so that you may continue to use and explore them. Downloads and resources Baseline scan final report Appendices Future of healthy ecosystems Future effects of non-synthetic chemical use Appendix 1 Appendix 2 Appendix 3 Appendix 4 Potential impacts of future energy policy on UK biodiversity Significance matirx Scenario testing for fisheries recovery plans A new agenda for biosecurity - biosecurity report Sustainable Rural Policy and Land Use (SURPLUS) report Rural futures summary report and recommendations Henley Centre food chain trends report Non-food crops workshop report Long term farming trends study Appendix Natural resource protection future trends study